On the second day of October, let me share some thoughts I had yesterday. First, let me summarize: in October, I will fully dedicate myself to the prediction market. I will give up any animal/political memes. This is a sector that has rarely been genuinely speculated on by funds; real speculation should be like the Perp track, with the same level of funding enthusiasm and the capacity to accommodate huge amounts of capital. Why the prediction market? Why is it uniquely romantic on-chain? Polymarket is about to relaunch in the U.S.: the world's largest prediction market platform, Polymarket, plans to reopen to U.S. users in a few days, marking its first return since the CFTC ban in 2021. The platform is in the final preparation stage, making its return to the U.S. market for the first time in three years. This is explosive good news, but the market suffers from a lack of corresponding tokens to genuinely reflect market sentiment, ultimately leading to a preference for the leading...
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